
Morgan Stanley strategists, led by Mike Wilson, have identified six bullish catalysts they believe are still underestimated by investors for 2026, forecasting continued gains for the S&P 500.
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Key catalysts:
- Earnings growth: Mid-teens EPS growth is projected for 2026.
- Deregulation: Expected to boost capital productivity, especially in financials.
- Interest rates: 10-year Treasury yield seen dipping below 3.75% with Fed cuts in January and April.
- AI adoption: A growing percentage of businesses are seeing improved profit margins from AI.
- Declining oil and dollar: Should support S&P 500 earnings and consumer spending.
- Expanding valuations: Supportive conditions for P/E ratios to climb further.
Wilson’s top sector picks include financials, healthcare, consumer discretionary, industrials, and small-caps. His 2026 S&P 500 price target is 7,800, implying roughly 13% upside.
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