Oil prices steadied as traders weighed President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats on Canada, Mexico, and China against potential progress in cease-fire talks between Israel and Hezbollah. Brent crude traded above $73 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate hovered near $69. A rally in the dollar, driven by Trump’s remarks on Truth Social, pressured dollar-denominated commodities like oil.
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Earlier, oil prices fell 2.9%—their largest drop in nearly a month—after Israel indicated progress on a truce with Hezbollah that could ease Middle East supply risks. Uncertainty persists, as the Iran-backed group has yet to agree. Chris Weston of Pepperstone Group noted that a failed deal could reverse short positions, while Trump’s comments may be strategic ahead of appointing a U.S. trade representative.
Oil remains range-bound since mid-October, with geopolitical supply risks from Russia and Iran balanced against forecasts of oversupply in 2024. Ahead of this weekend’s OPEC+ meeting, Iran’s delegate warned the group has limited room to reverse production cuts due to growing output elsewhere.
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